JMD on NBN: Jonathan Fulton, China's Relations with the Gulf Monarchies
JONATHAN FULTON
China's Relations with the Gulf Monarchies
ROUTLEDGE 2018
January 17,
2019
By James M. Dorsey
Jonathan Fulton‘s China’s Relations with the Gulf
Monarchies (Routledge, 2018) sheds light on China’s
increasing economic role at a moment that the traditionally dominant role in
international oil markets of Saudi Arabia and other Gulf oil producers is
changing as a result of the United States having become more or less
self-sufficient, China replacing the US as the Gulf’s foremost export market,
and members of the Organization of Oil-Producing Export Countries (OPEC)
becoming increasingly dependent on non-OPEC producers like Russia to manipulate
prices and regulate supply demand. Fulton’s book is also a timely contribution
to discussion of the changing global balance of power as Gulf states
increasingly see the United States as an unreliable and unpredictable ally. In
describing China-Gulf relations as one of “deep inter-dependence,” Fulton
charts with three case studies – Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and
Oman – the rapid expansion of the region’s economic relations with China and
its importance to China’s infrastructure and energy-driven Belt and Road
initiative even if the Gulf has not been woven into the initiative’s
architecture as one of its key corridors. The fact that the Gulf is not
classified as a corridor suggests the potential pitfalls of China’s determination
to avoid being sucked into the region’s multiple conflicts, including the
Saudi-Iranian rivalry and the 18-month old Saudi-UAE-led diplomatic and
economic boycott of Qatar that has so far failed to subjugate the Gulf state.
Acknowledging that even though Gulf states welcome China’s refusal to interfere
in the domestic affairs of others and hope that it can secure its interests
through win-win economic cooperation China may not be able to sustain its
foreign and defense policy principles, Fulton makes a significant distribution
by not only charting and analysing the deepening China-Gulf relationship but
suggesting that Chinese policy is in effect putting the building blocks in
place to ensure that it can respond to situations in which it ultimately may have
to become politically and perhaps even militarily involved.
James M. Dorsey is a senior fellow at Singapore’s S. Rajaratnam School
of International Studies.
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