Biden’s Israeli bear hug is a double-edged sword.
By James M.
Dorsey
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Even then, Mr. Biden needed to be
blunt and go public to get what he wanted. After 10 days of behind-the-scenes diplomacy
and US blocking of condemnatory United Nations Security Council resolutions,
Mr. Biden placed his fourth phone call to Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin
Netanyahu in little more than a week.
Mr. Biden advised the Israeli leader
that he “expected a significant de-escalation today on the path to a ceasefire.”
When Mr. Netanyahu sought to buy time
to continue the bombing, Mr. Biden replied: “Hey man, we’re out of runway here.
It’s over.”
Israel and Hamas agreed to a
ceasefire a day later.
Mr. Biden’s bear hug approach took
its toll on the Palestinians in 2021, but ultimately it worked.
Two years later and 20 days into the
most ferocious Israeli air attack on Gaza, likely to be followed by a ground
offensive into a besieged strip that has been devastated, the toll of Mr.
Biden’s approach is a multitude.
Heart-wrenching scenes of more than
7,000 dead, including 2,000 children, according to Palestinian sources, the
closure of hospitals because of a lack of fuel, a blackout due to Gaza running
out of energy, unimaginable situations in hospitals lacking electricity and
medical supplies that are overrun by patients and displaced persons, and impending
hunger as food stocks are depleted.
Pressured by the United States and
international public opinion, Israel has agreed to allow humanitarian aid to
trickle into Gaza. However, it is too little, and for many too late, and
impeded by unrelentless Israeli bombings.
To be sure, 2023 is not 2021. What
provoked Israeli ferocity was far more extreme than the clashes between
Palestinians and Israeli security forces and the rockets fired at Israeli towns
from Gaza by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad in 2021.
The brutal and wanton killing by
Hamas of some 1,400, mostly civilian, Israelis and the kidnapping of some 220
Israeli, dual, and foreign, primarily civilian, nationals was on an
unprecedented scale and demonstrated Hamas’ refusal to distinguish between
innocent civilians and security and military personnel, a mirror image of
Israel’s approach to Gaza. The killings evoked Holocaust associations.
Dehumanizing statements by Israeli officials and calls for the expulsion of Palestinians from Gaza reflect the depth of Israeli anger. Coupled with a seemingly blanket US
support for Israel, they also reinforced Palestinian suspicions that ridding
itself of Palestinians is Israel’s long-standing goal.
Republican Mike Johnson’s
introduction of a bill in Congress supporting Israel that was adopted with an overwhelming majority as his first act as
speaker of the US Congress demonstrates domestic restraints on Mr. Biden in the
run-up to next year’s presidential election.
Add to that the question of the price
both Palestinians and the United States are paying for a go-slow approach.
Palestinians pay the price in lives and destruction, the cost to the United
States is reputation and geopolitics.
Moreover, Mr. Biden’s bear hug
approach lends legitimacy to assertions of US hypocrisy, particularly when
compared to his statements on the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the exception to
his tactics that he applies not only to Israel but also in domestic politics.
The notion of hypocrisy undermines
the US assertion that it stands for principles and values and perceptions of its
reliability as a security partner elsewhere in the Middle East.
Similarly, it has opened the door to
a shifting of the Israeli-Palestinian paradigm with Israel’s assertion that Hamas is the equivalent of Islamic State.
The Israeli effort is designed to put
the shoe on the other foot.
Two decades after the 9/11 Al Qaeda
attacks on New York and Washington sparked a push for “moderate” Islam, the
Israeli assertion turns a national conflict into a struggle against religious
militancy.
On a visit to Jerusalem to express
solidarity with Israel, French President Emmanuel Macron picked up on the
Israeli assertion by calling for the military alliance that defeated Islamic State in Syria
and Iraq to take on Hamas.
While Hamas’ October 7 rampage
resembled Islamic State atrocities, Hamas differs substantially from Islamic
State.
It is a militant religious
nationalist group, not a transnational jihadist movement seeking a caliphate.
Moreover, Hamas long served Mr. Netanyahu’s effort to keep the Palestinian polity divided between the Gaza group and the Palestine Authority in the West Bank.
Equating Hamas with the Islamic State
serves the same purpose as Israel’s visceral response to United
Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterrez’s statement that the Hamas attack “did
not happen in a vacuum.”
Israel cannot maintain its occupation
of Palestinian lands and rejection of an equitable resolution of the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict if the Hamas attack is explained, not justified,
as linked to Israeli policy towards the Palestinians.
This week, Mr. Biden insisted that “there's no going back to the status quo as it stood on October 6,” the day before the Hamas attack.
“That means ensuring that Hamas can
no longer terrorize Israel and use Palestinians civilians as human shields. It
also means that when this crisis is over, there has to be a vision of what
comes next, and in our view, it has to be a two-state solution,” an independent
Palestinian state alongside Israel, Mr. Biden said.
To achieve that, Mr. Biden, the first
US president in decades to refrain from Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking, would
have to engage. Bear hugs may not be sufficient to prevent Mr. Biden from
becoming the umpteenth president to fail in resolving one of the world’s most
intractable conflicts.
Dr. James M. Dorsey is an Honorary
Fellow at Singapore’s Middle East Institute-NUS, an Adjunct Senior Fellow at
Nanyang Technological University’s S. Rajaratnam School of International
Studies, and the author of the syndicated column and podcast, The Turbulent World with James M.
Dorsey.
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