Posts

A US-Israeli masterclass in how to discourage change in Syria

Image
  By James M. Dorsey Hi and welcome. if you appreciate this type of content, consider upgrading to a paid subscription, to help ensure that independent journalism and analysis survive. Without your support this kind of hard-hitting, fact-based analysis would not be possible.   Subscribing gives you access to the full text of this article and allows you to listen to the podcast, and/ or watch the video. To subscribe, please click here.   To watch a video version of this story   or   listen to an audio podcast click  here .    Thank you for your support and loyalty.    US and Israeli responses to President Bashar al-Assad’s fall offer a masterclass on how to discourage change in Syria. Rather than test and encourage Syria’s new leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, aka Abu Mohammed al-Jawlani, US and Israeli actions seem designed to box him in and potentially set him up for failure. Mr. Al-Sharaa is no run-of-the-mill rebel. He is a former Al Qaed...

Syria may be tired of war, but war may not be tired of Syria

Image
  Credit: Firstpost By James M. Dorsey Hi and welcome. if you appreciate this type of content, consider upgrading to a paid subscription, to help ensure that independent journalism and analysis survive. Without your support this kind of hard-hitting, fact-based analysis would not be possible.   To watch a video version of this story   or   listen to an audio podcast click  here .    Thank you for your support and loyalty.    Syrian rebel leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, aka Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, appears to be a man who picks his battles. Speaking at a Damascus mosque, Mr. Al-Jolani, a one-time jihadist with a history as an Al Qaeda and the Islamic State operative and a $10 million US bounty on his head, suggested Syrians were exhausted, focused on reconstructing their war-ravaged country, and unprepared for another war. “The country is moving towards development and reconstruction. It’s going towards stability. People are exhausted from war. So...

Picking up the pieces: Russia and Iran seek to limit losses in Syria

Image
  By James M. Dorsey Hi and welcome. if you appreciate this type of content, consider upgrading to a paid subscription, to help ensure that independent journalism and analysis survive. Without your support this kind of hard-hitting, fact-based analysis would not be possible.   To watch a video version of this story   or   listen to an audio podcast click  here .    Thank you for your support and loyalty.    Policymakers in Tehran and Moscow are asking who lost Syria in a tectonic rewrite of the Middle East’s geopolitical map that has ousted President Bashar al-Assad ‘s principal backers struggling to limit their losses. Russian President Vladimir Putin sought to preempt the debate by firing Lt.  Gen. Sergei Kisel , the commander of Russian forces in Syria, as soon as the rebels broke out of their northern enclave of Idlib and captured Aleppo , Syria’s second-largest city. Similarly, Iran quickly contacted the rebels to prevent what...

Will the real Mr. Jolani stand up?

Image
  Credit: monetcontrolcom By James M. Dorsey Hi and welcome. if you appreciate this type of content, consider upgrading to a paid subscription, to help ensure that independent journalism and analysis survive. Without your support this kind of hard-hitting, fact-based analysis would not be possible.   To watch a video version of this story   or   listen to an audio podcast click  here .    Thank you for your support and loyalty.    Ahmed al Shara, aka Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, would like you to think he is a changed man. These days, Mr. Al-Jolani, a 41-year-old one-time Al Qaeda and Islamic State operative with a $10 million US bounty on his head, no longer spews jihadist fire and brimstone. Instead, he preaches pluralism, religious tolerance, diversity, and forgiveness as his Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) rebels take control of Damascus, the Syrian capital. With the departure to Moscow of toppled President Bashar al-Assad, ending the Assad fa...